MAJOR DEPRESSION AND CARDIOVASCULAR RISK: MARKER, MEDIATOR, OR CAUSAL FACTOR?
Keywords:
Major Depressive Disorder, Cardiovascular Diseases, Myocardial Infarction, Stroke, Mortality and InflammationAbstract
DOI: https://doi.org/10.46296/gt.v9i17.0342
Abstract
Major depression is a common disorder worldwide, associated with substantial disability burden, and it frequently coexists with cardiovascular disease (CVD) (1,2). Recent epidemiologic evidence indicates that depression is linked to a modest yet consistent increase in the risk of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction and stroke) and cardiovascular mortality, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors; meta-analyses have estimated a relative increase of ~20–30% in incident coronary heart disease risk and up to ~40% in total cardiovascular events among individuals with depression (3,5,9,10). Large multicountry studies support this association: for instance, across 21 countries (PURE), depressive symptoms were associated with higher CVD incidence (adjusted hazard ratio, HR, ≈1.14) and mortality (HR ≈1.17) over 7 years of follow-up (4), while two large Chinese cohorts (~539,000 adults) showed that depression was associated with higher cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.22–1.32) and all-cause mortality (~1.3), with a more pronounced effect in men than in women (6). In patients with established CVD, depression predicts worse prognosis (e.g., ~60–80% higher mortality risk at 2–5 years after myocardial infarction compared with non-depressed patients) (13). Plausible pathways include chronic low-grade inflammation, autonomic dysfunction (reduced heart rate variability), endothelial dysfunction, and adverse health behaviors (smoking, physical inactivity, poor medication adherence) that commonly accompany depression. Whether depression acts merely as a risk marker or contributes causally to CVD remains debated; current evidence suggests a mixed role. Genetic approaches using Mendelian randomization support a small but significant causal effect of genetic liability to depression on ischemic heart disease (odds ratio, OR, ~1.15), with no clear evidence of reverse causality (3). Nevertheless, clinical trials treating depression in cardiovascular populations have not demonstrated clear reductions in hard cardiovascular endpoints, underscoring the multifactorial nature of the relationship. Overall, major depression can be considered an emerging cardiovascular risk factor of moderate magnitude, relevant for comprehensive risk assessment and management, while further research is needed to clarify causal mechanisms and identify effective interventions that translate into improved cardiovascular outcomes.
Keywords: Major Depressive Disorder, Cardiovascular Diseases, Myocardial Infarction, Stroke, Mortality and Inflammation.
Downloads
References
GBD 2019 Mental Disorders Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of 12 mental disorders in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019. Lancet Psychiatry. 2022;9(2):137-150. doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(21)00395-3.
Roth GA, Mensah GA, Johnson CO, et al. Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019: Update From the GBD 2019 Study. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2020;76(25):2982-3021. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2020.11.010.
Zeng J, Qiu Y, Yang C, et al. Cardiovascular diseases and depression: A meta-analysis and Mendelian randomization analysis. Mol Psychiatry. 2025;30(10):4234-4246. doi:10.1038/s41380-025-03003-2.
Rajan S, McKee M, Rangarajan S, et al. Association of Symptoms of Depression With Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality in Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Countries. JAMA Psychiatry. 2020;77(10):1052-1063. doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2020.1351.
Harshfield EL, Pennells L, Schwartz JE, et al. Association Between Depressive Symptoms and Incident Cardiovascular Diseases. JAMA. 2020;324(23):2396-2405. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.23068.
Meng R, Yu C, Liu N, et al. Association of depression with all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality among adults in China. JAMA Network Open. 2020;3(2):e1921043. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.21043.
Smolderen KG, Buchanan DM, Gosch K, et al. Depression treatment and 1-year mortality after acute myocardial infarction: Insights from the TRIUMPH registry. Circulation. 2017;135(18):1681-1689. doi:10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.116.024993.
Ogunmoroti O, Osibogun O, Spatz ES, et al. A systematic review of the bidirectional relationship between depressive symptoms and cardiovascular health. Prev Med. 2022;154:106891. doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106891.
Nicholson A, Kuper H, Hemingway H. Depression as an aetiologic and prognostic factor in coronary heart disease: A meta-analysis of 6362 events among 146,538 participants in 54 observational studies. Eur Heart J. 2006;27(23):2763-2774. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehl338.
Gan Y, Gong Y, Tong X, et al. Depression and the risk of coronary heart disease: A meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies. BMC Psychiatry. 2014;14:371. doi:10.1186/s12888-014-0371-z.
Lichtman JH, Froelicher ES, Blumenthal JA, et al. Depression as a risk factor for poor prognosis among patients with acute coronary syndrome: Systematic review and recommendations. Circulation. 2014;129(12):1350-1369. doi:10.1161/CIR.0000000000000019.
Jørgensen TS, Wium-Andersen IK, Wium-Andersen MK, et al. Incidence of depression after stroke, and associated risk factors and mortality outcomes, in a large cohort of Danish patients. JAMA Psychiatry. 2016;73(10):1032-1040. doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2016.1932.
Carney RM, Freedland KE. Depression and coronary heart disease. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2017;14(3):145-155. doi:10.1038/nrcardio.2016.181.
Ormel J, Zuidersma M, van Tuijl LA. Depression and cardiovascular disease: Heterogeneity, longitudinal processes, and pathogenetic mechanisms. Can J Cardiol. 2013;29(7):914-919. doi:10.1016/j.cjca.2013.02.009.
Khandaker GM, Zuber V, Rees JM, et al. Shared mechanisms between coronary heart disease and depression: findings from a large UK general population-based cohort. Mol Psychiatry. 2020;25(7):1477-1486. doi:10.1038/s41380-019-0395-3.
Osimo EF, Baxter LJ, Lewis G, Jones PB, Khandaker GM. Prevalence of low-grade inflammation in depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis of CRP levels. Psychol Med. 2019;49(12):1958-1970. doi:10.1017/S0033291719001454.
Kemp AH, Brunoni AR, Santos IS, et al. Effects of depression, anxiety, comorbidity, and antidepressants on resting-state heart rate and its variability: An ELSA-Brasil cohort baseline study. Am J Psychiatry. 2014;171(12):1328-1334. doi:10.1176/appi.ajp.2014.13121605.
Whooley MA, de Jonge P, Vittinghoff E, et al. Depression, biomarkers, and cardiovascular disease: Forward to the future. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2012;60(14):1335-1336. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2012.05.049.
Joynt KE, Whellan DJ, O’Connor CM. Depression and cardiovascular disease: Mechanisms of interaction. Biol Psychiatry. 2003;54(3):248-261. doi:10.1016/S0006-3223(03)00568-7.
Vaccarino V, Badimon L, Cortés-Beringola A, et al. Depression and coronary heart disease: 2018 position paper of the ESC Working Group on Coronary Pathophysiology and Microcirculation. Eur Heart J. 2020;41(17):1687-1696. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehy913
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2026 GESTAR Arbitrated Scientific Journal in Health Research. ISSN: 2737-6273.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
















